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Breast cancer diagnoses to rise 50% by 2030: study

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More women will be diagnosed with breast cancer in the year 2030.

Breast cancer cases in the U.S. will rise by 50 percent in 15 years, a new study says.

By 2030, 441,000 women are expected to be newly diagnosed, says Philip Rosenberg, a senior investigator in the division of cancer epidemiology and genetics at the National Cancer Institute. In 2011, the number was 283,000.

Rosenberg says the increase is due to a larger population at 2030, an increase in life expectancy — which equals more time to get breast cancer — and a rise in estrogen-receptive-positive tumors.

“All those things make for a bigger number,” Rosenberg said. “It’s important to understand how many cases there will be (because) our health care system will be treating those cases and will want to be ready.”

But estrogen-receptor-negative breast cancers, including the rare but deadly triple-negative breast cancer, are expected to decline, from 17 to 9 percent, though the researchers aren’t sure why. Estrogen-receptor-negative cancers are harder to treat because they don’t respond to hormone therapy.

One in eight women develops breast cancer over a lifetime.

The findings were presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research.

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Health – NY Daily News

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